On The Margin
522 Episodes • By Blockworks •
The worlds of macro finance and crypto are continuing to draw closer together. On the Margin will host some of the greatest minds in the world of asset management, markets, and discuss how ideas that were once on the margin are now becoming mainstream.
Business News
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FLASH UPDATE: The Dollar Rally Isn’t Over — What It Means For Risk Assets | Joe McCann
In this episode, Joe McCann joins the show to discus...
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Jan 8 2025 40m
Chapter 1 8 mins
Macro & Crypto OverviewChapter 2 3 mins
Implications Of Hawkish FedChapter 3 5 mins
Inauguration & The US DollarChapter 4 1 min
AdsChapter 5 3 mins
Crypto Market OutlookChapter 6 2 mins
Strategic Bitcoin ReserveChapter 7 5 mins
Crypto Shopping ListChapter 8 3 mins
Bottom SignalsChapter 9 4 mins
2025 Outlook
Debating The Impact Of A Bitcoin Strategic Reserve | Travis Kling
In this episode, Travis Kling joins the show to disc...
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Dec 23 2024 56m
Chapter 1 4 mins
Macro OutlookChapter 2 5 mins
Philosophical Vibe ShiftChapter 3 4 mins
Financial NihilismChapter 4 3 mins
Unpacking The Next AdministrationChapter 5 3 mins
Misaligned IncentivesChapter 6 1 min
AdsChapter 7 12 mins
Bitcoin Strategic ReserveChapter 8 8 mins
BSR & The US DollarChapter 9 2 mins
Crypto Market OutlookChapter 10 5 mins
Crypto Product Market FitChapter 11 1 min
Fundamentals Bearish?Chapter 12 43 sec
Learn More About Travis’ Work
This Is Peak Hawkishness From The Fed | Joseph Wang
In this special crossover episode with Forward Guida...
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Dec 18 2024 51m
Chapter 1 3 mins
Hawkish FOMC ConferenceChapter 2 3 mins
Immigration ImpactChapter 3 2 mins
2025 SurprisesChapter 4 2 mins
Trump, Trade, & TariffsChapter 5 5 mins
What Is The Fed Thinking?Chapter 6 1 min
Peak HawkishnessChapter 7 1 min
Long-Term RatesChapter 8 2 mins
SEP As A Psychological ToolChapter 9 1 min
AdsChapter 10 1 min
Fed Surveys & PoliticsChapter 11 1 min
The Neutral RateChapter 12 1 min
How The Fed Gauges RestrictivenessChapter 13 5 mins
Reverse RepoChapter 14 1 min
Treasury Coupon IssuanceChapter 15 3 mins
Equities & The DollarChapter 16 1 min
Gold & CryptoChapter 17 4 mins
Long Bonds, Commodities, & InflationChapter 18 1 min
Main Takeaways
Convertible Bond Expert Breaks Down Why MicroStrategy Is Soaring | Richard Byworth
In this episode, Richard Byworth joins the show to d...
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Dec 10 2024 54m
Chapter 1 7 mins
Richard Byworth And Convertible BondsChapter 2 5 mins
MicroStrategy’s Convertible Bond StrategyChapter 3 5 mins
Accretive Dilution & The Value Of A Convertible BondChapter 4 5 mins
Breaking Down The Convertible Bond TradeChapter 5 1 min
AdsChapter 6 8 mins
Risks & Opportunities In MicroStrategy’s StrategyChapter 7 1 min
Bitcoin Yield & Bitcoin Per ShareChapter 8 4 mins
Leveraged Upside And DownsideChapter 9 1 min
MicroStrategy Index InclusionChapter 10 5 mins
Biggest MicroStrategy MisconceptionsChapter 11 2 mins
Impact Of Levered MSTR ETFsChapter 12 2 mins
The Changing Market Paradigm
The Everything Code: Debt, Demographics, And The Infinite Human Future | Raoul Pal
In this episode, Raoul Pal joins the show to discuss...
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Dec 3 2024 58m
Chapter 1 4 mins
Regime ShiftChapter 2 4 mins
Labor Vs DebtChapter 3 3 mins
Setup For The New ConflictChapter 4 2 mins
Rethinking Business CyclesChapter 5 3 mins
No More Cowbell?Chapter 6 3 mins
Scott BessentChapter 7 6 mins
GeopoliticsChapter 8 1 min
AdsChapter 9 3 mins
Inflation TrendChapter 10 2 mins
Finding Treasury BuyersChapter 11 1 min
Cynicism Vs OptimismChapter 12 7 mins
Macro-Crypto IntersectionChapter 13 4 mins
Crypto's Addressable MarketChapter 14 5 mins
Changing Perception Of MarketsChapter 15 3 mins
The Banana Zone
Are You Ready For The 1st Turning? | Michael Millerman
In this episode, Michael Millerman joins the show to...
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Nov 27 2024 56m
Chapter 1 1 min
Incorporating Political Philosophy Into InvestingChapter 2 1 min
Michael's BackgroundChapter 3 5 mins
Peter Thiel & The Straussian MomentChapter 4 8 mins
The Friend-Enemy DistinctionChapter 5 3 mins
The Vulgar Vs The WiseChapter 6 3 mins
The Post-Liberalism EraChapter 7 1 min
AdsChapter 8 9 mins
Interview ContinuesChapter 9 4 mins
Multipolarity & DecentralizationChapter 10 4 mins
The Fourth Political TheoryChapter 11 3 mins
Looking Where Others Are NotChapter 12 5 mins
The Great AwakeningChapter 13 1 min
Learn More About Michael's Work
Everything You Need To Know About The New Bitcoin ETF Options | Jeff Park
In this episode, Jeff Park joins the show to discuss...
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Nov 21 2024 54m
Chapter 1 4 mins
Bitcoin ETF Options ExpectationsChapter 2 4 mins
Bitcoin's Volatility SkewChapter 3 3 mins
Bitcoin's Unique Supply DynamicsChapter 4 1 min
Corporates Rewarded For Having BitcoinChapter 5 11 mins
Biggest Options Trading TakeawaysChapter 6 1 min
AdsChapter 7 2 mins
Interview ContinuesChapter 8 5 mins
Implications On Dealers & GammaChapter 9 4 mins
Impact Of Synthetic Bitcoin Through DerivativesChapter 10 3 mins
How Options Will Impact Market StructureChapter 11 3 mins
Following The New Options LandscapeChapter 12 3 mins
The New Risk ModelChapter 13 2 mins
Retail Opportunities
Why Bitcoin Miners Are Pivoting To AI Data Centers | Josh Solesbury
In this episode, Josh Solesbury joins the show to di...
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Nov 11 2024 1h 15m
Chapter 1 1 min
Josh's BackgroundChapter 2 6 mins
Overview Of The Bitcoin Mining LandscapeChapter 3 2 mins
Bitcoin Mining CyclicalityChapter 4 3 mins
Industry ConsolidationChapter 5 6 mins
Differentiating MinersChapter 6 14 mins
Miner Transition To AI/HPCChapter 7 2 mins
AdsChapter 8 3 mins
Miner Transition To AI/HPC (Continued)Chapter 9 7 mins
Chips & BottlenecksChapter 10 9 mins
Why Don't Miners Abandon Bitcoin For AI?Chapter 11 5 mins
CoreWeave & Core ScientificChapter 12 3 mins
Risks To Transition To AI/HPCChapter 13 7 mins
The Future Of The Mining Industry
What People Get Wrong About Microstrategy’s Bitcoin Plan | Dylan LeClair
In this episode, Dylan LeClair joins the show to dis...
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Nov 4 2024 53m
Chapter 1 3 mins
IntroductionChapter 2 6 mins
MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin StrategyChapter 3 4 mins
Who Is Buying MicroStrategy?Chapter 4 1 min
How To Value MicroStrategyChapter 5 3 mins
FASB Regulation ChangeChapter 6 2 mins
MicroStrategy’s Dilution & NAV PremiumChapter 7 2 mins
MicroStrategy’s Convertible NotesChapter 8 2 mins
MicroStrategy’s $42 Billion Capital PlanChapter 9 3 mins
Why Is This Strategy Accretive to Shareholders?Chapter 10 1 min
AdvertisementsChapter 11 3 mins
Impact Of The Capital PlanChapter 12 7 mins
MicroStrategy RisksChapter 13 5 mins
Replicating MicroStrategy’s StrategyChapter 14 4 mins
Crypto Market Outlook
The BTC/ETH ETF Flows Are Just Getting Started | Matt Hougan
In this episode, Matt Hougan joins the show to discu...
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Oct 17 2024 45m
Chapter 1 1 min
BTC vs ETH ETFsChapter 2 1 min
Success of BTC ETFsChapter 3 2 mins
Marginal Buyers of Crypto ETFsChapter 4 1 min
Lackluster ETH ETF FlowsChapter 5 1 min
Surprise ETH ETF ApprovalChapter 6 2 mins
Value Proposition of EthereumChapter 7 1 min
Sacrificing ETH Utility in ETF WrapperChapter 8 4 mins
Crypto ETF OptionsChapter 9 3 mins
The Future of Crypto ETFsChapter 10 1 min
Bitwise Filing ProcessChapter 11 2 mins
Biggest ETF MisconceptionsChapter 12 1 min
AdvertisementsChapter 13 2 mins
Compliance ProcessChapter 14 3 mins
Election & RegulationChapter 15 2 mins
Regulatory ClarityChapter 16 3 mins
Incorporating Bitcoin Into A PortfolioChapter 17 2 mins
Gold vs BTCChapter 18 2 mins
Crypto Market ForecastsChapter 19 1 min
Learn More About Matt & Bitwise
The Economy is in Goldilocks | Ram Ahluwalia
In this episode, Ram Ahluwalia joins the show to dis...
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Oct 15 2024 49m
Chapter 1 35 sec
Ram & Lumida WealthChapter 2 3 mins
Macro OverviewChapter 3 1 min
50 Bps Cut Was a MistakeChapter 4 4 mins
Economic GoldilocksChapter 5 1 min
Fed MandateChapter 6 1 min
Cutting Cycle PathChapter 7 2 mins
The Neutral Rate & Animal SpiritsChapter 8 1 min
Election Impact on MarketsChapter 9 1 min
AdvertisementsChapter 10 5 mins
Asset Allocation StrategiesChapter 11 3 mins
NVIDIA & AIChapter 12 4 mins
Factor InvestingChapter 13 2 mins
Mathematical Model ShortfallsChapter 14 3 mins
Risk-Adjusted ReturnsChapter 15 6 mins
Digital Asset FrameworkChapter 16 3 mins
Market Outlook
The Great BTC ETF Debate: Bearish or Bullish?
In this episode, Jim Bianco and James Seyffart join ...
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Oct 11 2024 31m
Chapter 1 1 min
Have Bitcoin ETFs Been A Success?Chapter 2 4 mins
Who is Buying Bitcoin ETFs?Chapter 3 4 mins
Are ETFs Consistent with Crypto Ideals?Chapter 4 4 mins
Basis Trade vs HoldingChapter 5 1 min
AdvertisementsChapter 6 4 mins
ETH ETFs vs BTC ETFsChapter 7 4 mins
Bitcoin ETF OptionsChapter 8 4 mins
Crypto Ideals at Risk?
The Last Bitcoin Cycle That Matters | Charles Edwards
In this episode, Charles Edwards joins the show to d...
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Sep 26 2024 42m
Chapter 1 1 min
Macro OverviewChapter 2 2 mins
Soft Landing vs Hard LandingChapter 3 3 mins
Bitcoin SeasonalityChapter 4 3 mins
Current Bitcoin Cycle DynamicsChapter 5 1 min
Bitcoin Macro IndexChapter 6 2 mins
Future Bitcoin Cycles Won't MatterChapter 7 2 mins
On-chain DataChapter 8 3 mins
Bitcoin ETFsChapter 9 1 min
AdsChapter 10 3 mins
Interview ContinuesChapter 11 1 min
Impact of IBIT OptionsChapter 12 2 mins
Financialization vs the Bitcoin EthosChapter 13 2 mins
The Bitcoin EndgameChapter 14 3 mins
Leverage & Funding RatesChapter 15 4 mins
Top Signals
The Fed’s Dilemma: Deflationary Cliff Or Debt Spiral | James Lavish
In this episode, James and Felix discuss the latest ...
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Sep 19 2024 1h 1m
Chapter 1 10 mins
Unpacking The Fed Decision & Dual MandateChapter 2 5 mins
Quantitative Easing & TighteningChapter 3 6 mins
2019 Repo Spike & Dollar ShortageChapter 4 11 mins
Trillion-Dollar Annual DeficitsChapter 5 1 min
AdvertisementsChapter 6 7 mins
Why The Fed is Disconnected from InflationChapter 7 3 mins
Is Bitcoin the Solution?Chapter 8 4 mins
Gold & Bitcoin As Stores of ValueChapter 9 40 sec
Permissionless AdChapter 10 5 mins
Bitcoin Use Case For Global SovereignsChapter 11 2 mins
Where to Follow James' Work
Fed Cutting Cycle Imminent, What's Next for Markets? | Weekly Roundup
This week we discuss the split odds between a 25 and...
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Sep 14 2024 1h 8m
Chapter 1 1 min
Ram's BackgroundChapter 2 5 mins
25 Bps vs 50 BpsChapter 3 2 mins
Inflation DataChapter 4 1 min
The Economy Is OkayChapter 5 3 mins
Fed Opening the Door to 50 Bps CutChapter 6 2 mins
Parsing the Economic DataChapter 7 2 mins
Labor ProductivityChapter 8 1 min
AdsChapter 9 6 mins
Chinese Economy & Red FlagsChapter 10 3 mins
US EquitiesChapter 11 2 mins
Growth Vs ValueChapter 12 2 mins
Factor MarketChapter 13 7 mins
Market RotationChapter 14 37 sec
Permissionless AdChapter 15 3 mins
Narratives Driving MarketsChapter 16 6 mins
Digital AssetsChapter 17 4 mins
Bitcoin & Crypto Price ActionChapter 18 1 min
Hot Money RotationChapter 19 7 mins
Cutting Cycle Dynamics
Breaking Down the Disconnect Between TradFi & Crypto | Austin Campbell
In this episode, Austin Campbell joins the show to d...
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Sep 12 2024 51m
Chapter 1 1 min
Austin's BackgroundChapter 2 2 mins
Unpacking the Banking SystemChapter 3 4 mins
Money Markets & Reverse RepoChapter 4 3 mins
Crypto's Role in BankingChapter 5 7 mins
Stablecoin Designs & ReservesChapter 6 5 mins
What is Crypto Solving?Chapter 7 40 sec
Mantra AdChapter 8 4 mins
Spectrum of DecentralizationChapter 9 4 mins
CBDCsChapter 10 3 mins
Blockchains vs DatabasesChapter 11 39 sec
Permissionless AdChapter 12 4 mins
Crypto & Dollar HegemonyChapter 13 2 mins
Backlash to CryptoChapter 14 3 mins
Crypto Market Outlook
Fed Easing Will Match Weakness In The Labor Market | Weekly Roundup
This week we discuss the soft jobs report and how it...
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Sep 7 2024 56m
Chapter 1 8 mins
Non-Farm PayrollsChapter 2 2 mins
Comparing Other Labor Market DataChapter 3 5 mins
The Fed's Reaction FunctionChapter 4 1 min
The Yield Curve UninvertingChapter 5 6 mins
Credit Spreads & Equity RotationChapter 6 2 mins
Buy What The Government Is IncentivizingChapter 7 1 min
AdvertisementsChapter 8 3 mins
Tyler's AI RantChapter 9 6 mins
What's Going On In China?Chapter 10 2 mins
Flight From ChinaChapter 11 39 sec
Permissionless AdChapter 12 2 mins
Crypto Market UpdateChapter 13 2 mins
The Effects Of Rate CutsChapter 14 9 mins
Bitcoin Downside & Outlook
Why The Fed Shouldn’t Cut Rates | Eric Wallerstein
In this episode, Eric Wallerstein joins the show to ...
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Sep 4 2024 57m
Chapter 1 1 min
Eric's BackgroundChapter 2 5 mins
The Labor Market Is OkayChapter 3 2 mins
Why The Fed Is So DovishChapter 4 3 mins
Consumer SavingsChapter 5 2 mins
Real WagesChapter 6 3 mins
Labor ProductivityChapter 7 3 mins
Breaking Down GDPChapter 8 2 mins
Economic Big PictureChapter 9 38 sec
Mantra AdChapter 10 2 mins
Risks To The ConsumerChapter 11 3 mins
The Fed Doesn't Need To CutChapter 12 3 mins
Private Credit MarketsChapter 13 2 mins
The Fed Supporting Credit MarketsChapter 14 2 mins
Bond MarketsChapter 15 2 mins
Stock & Bond CorrelationsChapter 16 2 mins
Rethinking Asset AllocationChapter 17 39 sec
Permissionless AdChapter 18 2 mins
Global Markets & The Carry Trade UnwindChapter 19 2 mins
Chinese EconomyChapter 20 3 mins
Europe Doesn't Issue DebtChapter 21 2 mins
Key Takeaways
NVIDIA Passing The Baton From Growth To Value | Weekly Roundup
This week we discuss NVIDIA's latest earnings, the o...
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Aug 31 2024 1h 7m
Chapter 1 5 mins
NVIDIA EarningsChapter 2 3 mins
Growth Vs ValueChapter 3 2 mins
S&P 500 Earnings GrowthChapter 4 3 mins
Yield Curve SteepeningChapter 5 2 mins
High Yield SpreadsChapter 6 3 mins
Credit Spreads, Unemployment & RecessionChapter 7 6 mins
The Health Of The ConsumerChapter 8 1 min
AdvertisementsChapter 9 5 mins
The Future Fed Balance SheetChapter 10 1 min
Consequences Of Controlling VolatilityChapter 11 2 mins
Central Bank IndependenceChapter 12 38 sec
Permissionless AdChapter 13 2 mins
A Weaker US DollarChapter 14 8 mins
Bitcoin & GeopoliticsChapter 15 3 mins
Nobody Makes Money In PerpsChapter 16 2 mins
Are Rate Cuts Bearish?Chapter 17 2 mins
Will We Ever See Negative Real Rates Again?Chapter 18 4 mins
Altcoins & Macro
The Bull Market Will Continue Into 2025 As Liquidity Heads Higher | Michael Howell
In this episode, Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capit...
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Aug 28 2024 1h 1m
Chapter 1 3 mins
Powell's Jackson Hole SpeechChapter 2 1 min
Uptrend In Global LiquidityChapter 3 6 mins
Global Risk ExposureChapter 4 6 mins
A New Shanghai AccordChapter 5 39 sec
Mantra AdChapter 6 2 mins
Mechanics Of Yen InterventionChapter 7 8 mins
The Treasury MarketChapter 8 2 mins
Breakeven Inflation RatesChapter 9 2 mins
Debt-To-Liquidity RatioChapter 10 40 sec
Permissionless AdChapter 11 3 mins
US Public DebtChapter 12 2 mins
Monetary Inflation HedgesChapter 13 3 mins
Managing Bill IssuanceChapter 14 1 min
Bull Vs Bear SteepenerChapter 15 1 min
The Structure Of Global LiquidityChapter 16 3 mins
The MOVE IndexChapter 17 1 min
Treasury BuybacksChapter 18 1 min
Real Interest RatesChapter 19 2 mins
Equity Market & PBOC LiquidityChapter 20 1 min
More Upside In Gold & BTC
The Fed Put Is In & Global Easing Has Begun | Weekly Roundup
This week we discuss Powell’s dovish Jackson Hole sp...
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Aug 24 2024 1h 3m
Chapter 1 6 mins
Jackson Hole SpeechChapter 2 1 min
Employment Outweighing InflationChapter 3 1 min
Zaheer's Macro ViewChapter 4 2 mins
Housing ComebackChapter 5 36 sec
Polkadot AdChapter 6 3 mins
Global LiquidityChapter 7 5 mins
Credit Isn't The ProblemChapter 8 3 mins
New Cycle Of InvestingChapter 9 8 mins
Kamala's Economic PoliciesChapter 10 41 sec
Permissionless AdChapter 11 6 mins
Crypto RegulationChapter 12 1 min
Election Impact On CryptoChapter 13 6 mins
Crypto Market OutlookChapter 14 4 mins
The Bull Market Hasn't Even StartedChapter 15 4 mins
AltcoinsChapter 16 2 mins
Attributes Of ValueChapter 17 1 min
Don't Fight The FedChapter 18 43 sec
Polkadot Ad
Generating Alpha in Macro | Capital Flows
In this episode, Capital Flows joins the show to dis...
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Aug 21 2024 54m
Chapter 1 2 mins
Capital Flows Research & StrategyChapter 2 2 mins
Macro PhilosophyChapter 3 3 mins
Macro FrameworkChapter 4 3 mins
Bullish After VIX SurgeChapter 5 3 mins
Credit & Duration RiskChapter 6 39 sec
Mantra AdChapter 7 6 mins
Interest Rate ExpectationsChapter 8 1 min
Bull Vs Bear SteepenerChapter 9 3 mins
What's Priced Into The CurveChapter 10 38 sec
Permissionless AdChapter 11 5 mins
What's Driving The Equity Bull MarketChapter 12 2 mins
Upside Tail RisksChapter 13 4 mins
Will The Fed Allow An Extended Recession?Chapter 14 10 mins
Bitcoin Price Drivers
Has The Dust Settled? | Weekly Roundup
This week we discuss the back and forth between rece...
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Aug 17 2024 56m
Chapter 1 2 mins
Schrödinger's Soft LandingChapter 2 2 mins
What Is The Bond Market Saying About The Economy?Chapter 3 2 mins
The Fed Kept Its CoolChapter 4 2 mins
Massive VIX DeclineChapter 5 6 mins
Will Markets Adjust To The Sell-Off?Chapter 6 3 mins
The Role Of FlowsChapter 7 3 mins
July CPIChapter 8 4 mins
What's Going On With China?Chapter 9 2 mins
The Fed's Next MoveChapter 10 2 mins
Market OverreactionChapter 11 5 mins
Bitcoin & ETFsChapter 12 2 mins
Frustrating Crypto MarketChapter 13 1 min
How Many New Balances Does Tyler Own?Chapter 14 3 mins
What Can Stop The Fiscal Debt Spiral?Chapter 15 5 mins
Why The BOJ BackpedaledChapter 16 2 mins
The Globalization Of Central Banks
The Mystery Behind The Stock Market Sell-Off | Alex Campbell
In this episode, Alex Campbell joins the show to dis...
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Aug 12 2024 49m
Chapter 1 1 min
IntroductionChapter 2 3 mins
Market Volatility OverviewChapter 3 1 min
Magnificent Seven ConcentrationChapter 4 4 mins
Dispersion TradesChapter 5 3 mins
Market Risks & CorrelationsChapter 6 1 min
Mantra AdChapter 7 2 mins
The Carry TradeChapter 8 5 mins
Market Volatility Vs Credit & The EconomyChapter 9 7 mins
Impact Of Short Volatility & Hedging On MarketsChapter 10 38 sec
Permissionless AdChapter 11 2 mins
Artificial Intelligence And Alex's Startup Rose AIChapter 12 4 mins
Collecting & Using Market DataChapter 13 4 mins
The Future Of FinanceChapter 14 2 mins
Future Of The AI IndustryChapter 15 3 mins
Alex's Thoughts On Crypto
Recession vs Rebound Debate | Weekly Roundup
This week we discuss the unwinding of the carry trad...
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Aug 10 2024 1h 13m
Chapter 1 6 mins
Reflecting On The Market UnwindChapter 2 4 mins
No Asset Spared In Deleveraging EventsChapter 3 58 sec
Polkadot AdChapter 4 5 mins
Navigating Extreme VolatilityChapter 5 2 mins
Assessing Liquitidy SignalsChapter 6 2 mins
What Benefits The Most From Liquidity & Rate Cuts?Chapter 7 2 mins
Looking At Credit SpreadsChapter 8 16 mins
Steel Man-ing The Recession ArgumentChapter 9 39 sec
Permissionless AdChapter 10 2 mins
State Of The Labor MarketChapter 11 4 mins
Where Is Economic Growth?Chapter 12 4 mins
Is The Recession On Its Way?Chapter 13 8 mins
Crypto Market OverviewChapter 14 4 mins
Biggest Trading MistakesChapter 15 5 mins
How Much Of The Carry Trade Is Unwound